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<br />JOBS
<br />
<br />The estimate of new job locations in the metropolitan study area generally represents areas of
<br />non-residential development. Each new "job" projected for the metropolitan area was calculated
<br />as a certain number of new trips generated within the TP+ model. "Jobs" were used as the basis
<br />of trip generation, as opposed to "employed persons." This was due to the fact that a 'job,"
<br />whether full-time or part-time, represented a certain level of trip generation and interaction
<br />between residential and non-residential land uses. Furthermore, many "employed persons" had
<br />more than one job, which could only be reflected in terms of trip generation by using jobs as the
<br />base level of data. Again, this is further explained in Chapter 4 under the Development of the
<br />2000 Base Year Model section.
<br />
<br />Job Projections
<br />
<br />Figure 3 shows existing jobs in 2000, as well as projections in five-year increments
<br />through 2030.
<br />
<br />Figure 3: Metropolitan Area Job Projections
<br />
<br />Jurisdiction 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
<br />Cass County* 3,527 3,240 3,424 3,229 3,385 2,948 3,095
<br />Fargo 73,628 79,570 84,074 89,351 93,651 99,628 1 04,610
<br />West Fargo 6,133 6,806 7,191 7,720 8,092 9,150 9,608
<br />Clay County* 3,364 3,255 3,236 2,774 2,789 2,527 2,551
<br />Moorhead 13,560 13,965 13,886 14,882 14,965 15,483 15,627
<br />Dilworth 1,247 1,291 1,284 1,403 1,410 1,527 1,541
<br />Metro Total 101,459 110,132 115,105 121,374 126,313 133,287 139,061
<br />
<br />Source. F-M Metro COG. with assistance from Dr. Richard Rathge, State Demographer, NDSU
<br />* County job numbers include the entire County, except for Fargo, West Fargo, Moorhead and Dilworth.
<br />
<br />By 2030, the planning horizon for the Metropolitan Transportation Plan, the projected number of
<br />jobs is 139,061. This number of jobs represents 63 percent of the population projection for 2030.
<br />In 2000, the number of jobs was only 58 percent of the population. According to the State
<br />Demographer, this indicates that I) the percentage of the jobs filled by individuals who live
<br />outside the metropolitan study area will increase over the next 25 years, and 2) the number of
<br />people with more than one job will increase over the next 30 years.
<br />
<br />The Metro COG Policy Board also approved the job projections for the metropolitan study area
<br />in December of 200 I .
<br />
<br />Executive Summary - Fargo-Moorhead Metropolitan Area Transportation Plan Update
<br />Fargo-Moorhead Metropolitan Council of Governments
<br />
<br />June 2004
<br />Page 9
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