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<br />On an overall metropolitan-wide basis, the projected population from 2000 to 2030 reflects an
<br />average annual growth rate of one percent.
<br />
<br />Household Projections
<br />
<br />Household projections are based on a combination of population growth, age trends of the
<br />population and average persons per household. The growth in households was primarily
<br />projected based on the expected composition of the population in future years. For example,
<br />since the elderly and "empty nesters" will continue to increase as a percentage of the population
<br />over the next 30 years, the average number of persons per household was expected to continue to
<br />decline. This was only one factor of many that the demographer used to project household
<br />growth. Figure 2 identifies the projected household growth for each jurisdiction in five~year
<br />increments.
<br />
<br />Figure 2: Metropolitan Area Household Projections
<br />
<br />Jurisdiction 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
<br />Cass County* 6,276 5,925 6,260 6,997 7,333 5,163 5,422
<br />Fargo 39,268 44,573 47,096 52,554 55,084 61,684 64,768
<br />West Fargo 5,771 7,146 7,551 8,358 8,761 10,132 10,638
<br />Clay County* 5,50 5,928 5,894 5,941 5,974 5,172 5,220
<br />Moorhead 11,660 12,530 12,459 13,353 13,428 15,196 15,338
<br />Dilworth 1,160 1,248 1,241 1,412 1,420 1,604 1,619
<br />Metro Total 69,985 77,350 80,501 88,615 92,000 98,951 103,005
<br />
<br />Source: F-M Metro COG, with assistance from Dr. Richard Rathge, State Demographer, NDSU
<br />* Figures represent all ofCass and Clay Counties, except Fargo, West Fargo, Moorhead and Dilworth.
<br />
<br />It should be recognized that the household growth figures for Cass County and Clay County
<br />represent the entire county in both cases. Metro COG worked with the planning staff from each
<br />County, and a determination was made as to the proportion of that projected growth that would
<br />occur in the metropolitan study area, (i.e., the eight townships surrounding the metro area in each
<br />County). This household growth was then placed in the appropriate TAZ.
<br />
<br />As with the population projections, the Metro COG Policy Board approved the household
<br />projections in December 200 I.
<br />
<br />Executive Summary - Fargo-Moorhead Metropolitan Area Transportation Plan Update
<br />Fargo-Moorhead Metropolitan Council of Governments
<br />
<br />June 2004
<br />Page 8
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