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<br />ESTIMATED REVENUES FOR MULTI-MODAL TRANSPORTATION <br />SYSTEM <br /> <br />To fulfill the federal requirement of a financially constrained transportation plan, it is necessary <br />to estimate revenues during the 27 year horizon of this Plan. As part of the ISTEA legislation <br />and interpretive materials produced after the legislation was adopted, the FHW A provided <br />guidance regarding these revenue estimates. The FHW A's main stipulation was that the <br />financial revenue projections and project cost estimates be based on reasonable assumptions <br />regarding federal, state and local revenues, as well as any anticipated private contributions of <br />funds and/or labor. At this time, the most effective way for COG to generate reasonable <br />forecasts of future revenues was to use historical trends for each jurisdiction supplemented by <br />information from Metro COG's most recent TIP fiscal analysis. <br /> <br />The "short-range" includes the years 2004 to 2010. Transportation revenues were developed <br />based on information provided in the Metro-COG's federally approved 2004-2006 Fargo- <br />Moorhead Transportation Improvement Program (TIP) and projecting off of that database. The <br />database included historical data, anticipated federal and state funding levels, and planned <br />bonding measures, assessments, general fund expenditures, etc. at the local level. After local <br />staff review, adjustments were made to the revenue forecasts. <br /> <br />The long-range estimates of transportation revenues were developed in much the same manner as <br />the short-range revenues. The "long-range" includes the years 20 II to 2030. The revenue <br />sources for Cass County shown in Figure 4 were used to program potential short- and long-range <br />projects and to ensure that the projects listed in the MTP were financially feasible. <br /> <br />The fiscally constrained plan of short- and long-range roadway, bridge, transit, bicycle, <br />pedestrian and ITS projects for Cass County is shown in Figures 5 through 7. Projects already <br />programmed in Metro COG's TIP are usually shown first. Projects listed after those will not <br />necessarily be implemented in sequential order, due to a number of factors, such as project <br />readiness, immediate need, unanticipated complications of design or construction, or <br />policymakers' decisions to change scheduling, etc. Figures 8 presents all of the short and long- <br />range projects, from both the Minnesota and North Dakota sides of the study area combined onto <br />one map to illustrate the future metropolitan system improvements. <br /> <br />In addition to specific infrastructure or capital investments, preliminary engineering, <br />environmental documentation and right-of-way acquisition is usually included in the project <br />costs noted on the figures, especially for regionally significant transportation facilities, such as <br />extensions or expansions of arterial roadways and collector streets. <br /> <br />Executive Summary - Fargo-Moorhead Metropolitan Area Transportation Plan Update <br />Fargo-Moorhead Metropolitan Council of Governments <br /> <br />June 2004 <br />Page 10 <br />